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Updated: 3 days 3 hours ago

Sane Progressive - Las Vegas update - 10/14/2017

Sun, 15/10/2017 - 07:14
Sane Progressive: And now discussion allowed by Big Brother
Sane Progressie: And now discussion allowed by Big Brother from Robin Westenra on Vimeo.

Attempts to stop US involvement in Yemen war are failing

Sun, 15/10/2017 - 07:09
War Powers Act Challenge on Yemen Postponed to November 2
12 October, 2017

The House leadership’s attempts to undermine the bipartisan House Concurrent Resolution 81, which would end US involvement in the Saudi War in Yemen, is failing. On Wednesday, the House unanimously agreed to delay the vote on the resolution to November 2.

The concurrent resolutiondirects the president to end all military participation in the Saudi war in Yemen immediately, pointing out that Congress never authorized such an operation. Congress has sole discretion to make such a determination, and in over two years of war in Yemen, there’s never been such a vote.

While a lot of America’s ongoing wars are at present not authorized under the War Powers Act, Yemen is a particularly glaring one, because there isn’t even a roundabout argument to be made to try to connect this to the vague AUMF on fighting al-Qaeda. Indeed, in fighting against the Shi’ite Houthis in Yemen, the Saudi-led war has greatly enhanced al-Qaeda’s power in the country.

Indications are that support in the House for this resolution is growing, unsurprising given the House’s recent votes on selling arms to the Saudis have been increasingly close. The delay will give the vote’s supporters more time to shore up support.

Those wishing to call their representatives to express support for H. Con. Res. 81 can find contact information here. Under the War Powers Act, any one representative can bring a challenge like this one, so the prospects of the House leadership actually preventing the vote are virtually nil. This means getting the word out about support for the bill is particularly important.

Proof of US giving free pasage for ISIS in Raqqa

Sun, 15/10/2017 - 06:59
Free Passage Deal For ISIS In Raqqa - U.S. Denies Involvement - Video Proves It Lies

Moon of Alabama,14 October, 2017

After free passage negotiations with the U.S. and its Kurdish proxy forces, ISIS is moving its fighters out of Raqqa city. When the Syrian government reached similar agreements the U.S. childishly criticized it. The U.S. coalition claims that it was "not involved in the discussions" that led to the Raqqa free passage agreement. A BBC News report shows that the opposite is true.
Over the last two years the U.S. and its Kurdish proxy force in Syria made several deals with the Islamic State. In 2016, for example, they negotiated a deal with Islamic State fighters to move from Manbij to the Turkish border to avoid further casualties in the fight about the city.

But when in August 2017 Hizbullah and the Lebanese and Syrian government negotiated a deal with some 300 besieged ISIS fighters and their families at the Lebanese-Syria border, the U.S. loudly protested. The U.S. military blocked and threatened to bomb the evacuation convoy over several days and the U.S. envoy McGurk ranted against it:

7:20 AM - 30 Aug 2017 - Brett McGurk @brett_mcgurkIrreconcilable #ISIS terrorists should be killed on the battlefield, not bused across #Syria to the Iraqi border without #Iraq's consent 1/2
Our @coalition will help ensure that these terrorists can never enter #Iraq or escape from what remains of their dwindling "caliphate." 2/2

Over the last months U.S. supported Kurdish proxy fighters besieged the city of Raqqa and fought to take it from ISIS. An immense amount of U.S. bombs was released to lower the casualty numbers of the U.S.proxy forces. The city was literally "destroyed to save it". Many of its civilian inhabitants were killed. During the last days rumors abounded that a deal was made between the U.S. and ISIS. It would give ISIS fighters free passage when leaving the city. Today these rumors were confirmed:

[SOHR] received information from Knowledgeable and independent sources confirming reaching a deal between the International Coalition and the Syria Democratic Forces in one hand; and the “Islamic State” organization in the other hand, and the deal stated the exit of the remaining members of the “Islamic State” organization out of Al-Raqqah city.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights confirms that this agreement has happened, and confirms that all the Syrian members were gotten out already, and if some members remained until now it is because they are of the non-Syrian nationalities of whom the French Intelligence objects getting them out of Al-Raqqah city, where the French Intelligence considers that some of those involved in Paris Attack are present inside the city …
Other sources said that buses had arrived to take the leaving ISIS fighters towards the Syrian-Iraqi border area. Local officials saythat foreign fighters with ISIS are also leaving. The U.S. coalition generally confirms the evacuation, but it denies any involvement:

A convoy of vehicles is staged to depart Raqqah Oct. 14 under an arrangement brokered by the Raqqah Civil Council and local Arab tribal elders Oct. 12.... The Coalition was not involved in the discussions that led to the arrangement, but believes it will save innocent lives and allow Syrian Democratic Forces and the Coalition to focus on defeating Daesh terrorists in Raqqah with less risk of civilian casualties.
The hypocrisy stinks to high heaven. A deal made by Hizbullah with besieged ISIS fighters and their families was condemned. The evacuation convoy was blocked in the desert by U.S. drones and air interdiction. Now the U.S. and its allies make a similar deal and let leave its besieged position. They bus those fighters to the Syrian-Iraqi border where Syrian government forces are engaged in heavy battles against ISIS.

The U.S. says: "The Coalition was not involved in the discussions". That is a lie. Only two days ago BBC News reported on the meeting where the deal was discussed and then made. Here you can see (vid) U.S. General Jim Glynn meeting on October 12 with Raqqa officials to negotiate the deal. While the General claimed at that time that no deal was made, later news and the situation today proves the opposite. ISIS convoys are moving out of Raqqa and the U.S. and its proxy forces are sitting tight and simply watch them leave. No U.S. air asset is blocking the convoy and no Brett McGurk is raving against the deal.

The criticism of the Hizbullah deal in August by the U.S. military was unprofessional. The blockade of the earlier evacuation convoy was childish behavior. McGurks rants were puerile. To lie today about involvement in the deal making after having invited the BBC to film the negotiations is just utterly stupid. No grown ups seem to be involved on the U.S. side of the Syria conflict.

International support for Iran - except for Saudi Arabia and Israel

Sun, 15/10/2017 - 06:55
International Support For Iran As IAEA Insists Tehran Stuck To Nuclear Deal Saudi Arabia and Israel have both expressed their praise for the U.S. President’s move

Mint Press,14 October, 2017

by teleSUR

In response to the U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to decertify the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, JCPOA, with Tehran, the International Atomic Energy Agency, IAEA,  has confirmed that Iran adhered to the nuclear deal.
“As I have reported to the Board of Governors, the nuclear-related commitments undertaken by Iran under the JCPOA are being implemented,” the IAEA Director General Yukiya Amano said in a statement following Trump’s announcement.“The IAEA’s verification and monitoring activities address all the nuclear-related elements under the JCPOA. They are undertaken in an impartial and objective manner and in accordance with the modalities defined by the JCPOA and standard safeguards practice,” the UN nuclear watchdog’s chief added.The European Union’s foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini emphasized the same, adding that no one country could ax the deal, which was agreed by the U.K., France, Germany, Russia, China and the U.S.The U.K.’s Prime Minister Theresa May, French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel also released a joint statement confirming their support for the deal.Tehran has slammed Trump’s decision as “delusional”, with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani adding that Washington “is more isolated than ever” and cannot change the nuclear deal unilaterally.While the Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif posted his robust response on Twitter.In contrast, two countries which have pressurized Trump to harden his stance against Iran, Saudi Arabia and Israel, have both expressed their praise for the U.S. President’s move.The Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu lauded his “courageous decision,” saying it had created an “opportunity to fix this bad deal, to roll back Iran’s aggression and to confront its criminal support of terrorism”.“I think that the speech was very significant. Iran is the new North Korea. We see where things are going,” Israel’s Intelligence Minister Yisrael Katz also told the Israeli Channel 2 television network.Meanwhile, the official Saudi Press Agency released a statement saying its government backs Trump.“The kingdom backs and welcomes the firm strategy on Iran and its aggressive policy that was announced by US President Donald Trump,” the statement read.In his announcement, Trump said he had chosen not to certify Tehran, but would not immediately withdraw from it. He pushed the issue to the U.S. Congress, which has 60 days to decide whether to reinstate U.S. sanctions.The U.S. President called Iran a “regime” that “since the signing of the nuclear agreement, (whose) dangerous actions (have) only escalated.”Trump said he would also impose sanctions on Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, IRGC, which he accused of supporting supposed “terrorism” across the world, including the Middle East.To this, Rouhani asked, “Is it the IRGC that is corrupt or governments and armed forces who have always intervened in this region against the independence of nations?”The 2015 agreement had agreed to lift longtime, economic sanctions on the Iranian government and its citizens, in exchange for the country’s gradually-decreased production of enriched uranium and weapons-grade plutonium. The IAEA was tasked with overseeing Iran’s compliance with the deal.

Sane Progressive on Hedge Fund Vultures activity in Puerto Rico

Sun, 15/10/2017 - 06:48
Puerto Rico Billionaire Vultures As Destructive as Hurricane Maria

Sane Progressive
Here's the link:

How Hedge Fund Vultures Broke Puerto Rico

Billionaire Ticks Decide to Live in Puerto Rico to Pay NoTaxes:

Two articles on Promesa:

Extreme weather report - 10/14/2017

Sun, 15/10/2017 - 06:44
Climate & Extreme Weather News #73 (October 10th-14th 2017)

Understanding Climate Change

0:13 Vietnam: Floods & Landslides
8:49 The Philippines: Tropical Storm Odette
9:42 Thailand: Chiang Mai & Bangkok floods
14:23 The USA: California wildfires
27:59 Bolivia: Sucre hailstorm
32:59 Europe: Hurricane Ophelia & October heat

Abby Martin chronicles officail neglect in Houston , TX

Sun, 15/10/2017 - 06:41
Empire Files: After Hurricane Harvey, Abandoned Community Takes Charge

After a flurry of media attention, the devastation in Houston, Texas from Hurricane Harvey faded from public view. But after unprecedented floods and widespread destruction, the story is far from over.
In Part 1 of her investigation, Abby Martin travels to Houston one month later, and visits one of the most devastated neighborhoods. Victims there give harrowing testimony about nearly drowning and having zero assistance to this day from local or state officials.

This first installment reveals the untold stories of how, while abandoned by the state, the community banded together to save lives and rebuild their homes. 

Is a DPRK missile launch imminent?

Sun, 15/10/2017 - 00:57
I am posting this without looking around for other sources right now.BREAKING NEWS: North Korea Deploys Missiles to 6 Locations Around Country! Launches Deemed "IMMINENT" spy satellites have detected North Korean missiles have been loaded onto TEL (Transporter/Erector/Launcher) Units and moved to SIX (6) separate locations in the country for what is deemed likely to be a SIMULTANEOUS, multi-missile launch.   These missiles are said to be both SCUD type and at least one long range ICBM type.Our Intel Community does not think there is an actual attack planned. Although there is concern he might follow through the threat to hit the waters around Guam. If that happens we will still likely see a military response.

The agencies are 50-50 on whether North Korea is putting on a show for the satellites or actually planning to launch.If they launch they are 50-50 about whether they are aiming for Guam or just hit some poor startled fish off the coast of North Korea and bluff.Sadly, the Intel folks who continue to believe North Korea is "bluffing" or "putting on a show" have, in the past, been shown to be wrong almost 100% of the time; yet they persist.It's almost as though these Intel folks are in some type of psychiatric Denial of reality because the thought that Kim Jung Un really is a madman with nukes is too terrifying for them to believe.More details and commentary as it becomes available.UPDATE: US preparing to send B-1B bomber, F-22 stealth jets to Seoul after North Korea threatens missile launch toward Guam . . . @page { margin: 2cm } h2.cjk { font-family: "WenQuanYi Micro Hei" } h2.ctl { font-family: "Lohit Devanagari" } p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120% } a:link { so-language: zxx }

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Satellite Footage Shows North Korea Preparing Ballistic Missile Launch Ahead Of US Naval DrillsZero Hedge,14 October, 2017
Echoing a report from earlier this week, when on Wednesday the Seoul-based Asia Business Daily reported that North Korea is preparing to fire multiple short-range rockets around the opening of the Chinese Communist Party’s twice-a-decade congress on Oct. 18 - arguably the year's most important geopolitical event - on Saturday the South Korean press claimed that "North Korea is believed to be preparing to launch a ballistic missile ahead of an upcoming joint naval drill by the US and South Korea", according to a government source.The Donga Ilbo daily said satellite pictures show ballistic missiles mounted on "transporter erector vehicles" and being moved out of hangars near Pyongyang and in the North Phyongan Province. US and South Korean military officials suspect the North might be preparing to launch missiles capable of reaching US territory, the newspaper said.A defence ministry spokesman declined to comment on the report, saying: "we don't comment on any matters of military intelligence" but added that "we are keeping a close watch over the North."Quoted by AFP, Donga Ilbo said that US and South Korean military officials suspect the North might be preparing to launch missiles capable of reaching US territory, and that this could be the Hwasong-14 inter-continental ballistic missile, whose range could extend to Alaska, or Hwasong-12 intermediate-range missiles which Pyongyang threatened to fire towards the US Pacific territory of Guam in Augus . Another possibility is that the North might be preparing to test a new Hwasong-13 ICBM, it added, that has a longer maximum range than the other two missiles and could potentially reach the US West Coast.On Friday, the US navy said that a US aircraft carrier will lead a joint naval drill between the US and South Korea in the coming week. The drills, led by the USS Ronald Reagan aircraft carrier, are scheduled to begin on Monday in waters east and west of South Korea. The 10-day exercise, which will include the USS Stethem and USS Mustin Arleigh Burke-class guided missile destroyers, will check the allies’ “communications, interoperability and partnership,” the United States Navy’s 7th Fleet said in a statement.The training mission comes after hectic US military hardware movements around the Korean peninsula in recent days. These follow a flurry of missiles from Pyongyang, which conducted its sixth and most powerful nuclear test last month in defiance of international sanctions. Also on Friday the nuclear-powered USS Michigan submarine arrived at the southern South Korean port of Busan, just days after another nuclear-powered submarine - the USS Tuscon - left after a five day visit.The drill will also be the latest show of force against North Korea, as tensions soar over the hermit state's weapons programme, and will likely rile Pyongyang which has previously responded angrily to joint exercises.Indeed, as the two nations prepare for next week’s joint naval exercise, North Korean officials on Friday renewed their threat to launch ballistic missiles near Guam.  An op-ed published by Pyongyang’s KCNA state news agency said: “We have already warned several times that we will take counteractions for self-defense including a salvo of missiles into waters near the US territory of Guam, an advance base for invading the DPRK, where key US bases are located.”“The US military action hardens our determination that the US should be tamed with fire and lets us take our hand closer to ‘trigger’ for taking the toughest countermeasure,” Kim Kwang Hak, a researcher at the Institute for American Studies of North Korea’s Foreign Ministry, said in the op-ed.KCNA’s statement also came on the heels of a flyby of two US Air Force B-1B Lancer strategic bombers over the Korean Peninsula in a show of force on Tuesday night. Two B-1Bs took off from Guam and traveled in the vicinity of the Sea of Japan, staging an aerial exercise with Japanese and South Korean combat aircraft in the middle of the night.* * *In any event, local experts are concerned. On Friday, a researcher at the Institute for American Studies at the North Korean Foreign Ministry warned that the joint exercise, as well as a flight by two American B-1B bombers over South Korea on Tuesday, would compel the North to “take military counteraction.” Additionally, professor Yang Moo-Jin of the University of North Korean Studies said it was "highly likely" that the North could launch missiles in response to next week's joint navy drill.President Trump's continued threats of military action against Pyongyang if it does not tame its weapons ambitions have fuelled fears of conflict on the Korean peninsula. But military intervention against North Korea would have "devastating consequences", NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg warned Friday, after Trump said diplomatic efforts had failed.

The disappearnce of Jesus Campos - an update

Sun, 15/10/2017 - 00:51
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If you can picture a Stalinist Russia or Nazi Germany with modern technology and social media then this is what you’ve got.Even the USSR had the veneer of democracy and had “elections” - much like America has “elections”.Laura Loomer Latest: Police Press Conf Shuts Out Independent Media - Las Vegas Shooting Investigation

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This week the LVMPD used a new set of tactics for its press conference to try to hold onto control of their bogus "official" story. Step 1: Stop Independent Media from attending press conference that was originally open to us. Step 2: Don't have a Q&A session. Step 3: Have the Public Information Liaison run interference and obfuscate.

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Vegas Massacre Timeline Shifts Again - "This Is A Very Dynamic Event"Zero Hedge,
14 October, 2017

Authored by Carey Wedler via,Earlier this week, police investigating the Las Vegas shooting made headlines when they changedthe official timeline of events in the deadly massacre on October 1.
They had initially reported that gunman Stephen Paddock shot Mandalay Bay security guard Jesus Campos after he fired into the crowd at the Route 91 Harvest Festival. Campos was credited with stopping the attack. This week, the Los Angeles Times further summarized the original timeline:“In a timeline released last week, investigators said Paddock had stopped firing at the concert across the street at 10:15 p.m., and the first police officers arrived on the floor at 10:17 p.m. and encountered the wounded Campos at 10:18 p.m., who directed the officers to Paddock’s suite.”This summary came from a report released Monday of this week when the official story first changed. This week, Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo announced Paddock had fired on Campos at 9:59 pm, a full six minutes before the attack began — not after he stopped shooting into the crowd. This created new questions as to why Paddock stopped firing on concertgoers considering it apparently was not a result of Campos diverting his attention.Now, just days later, police have again changed their timeline, clarifying that Paddock did not actually shoot Campos six minutes before the rampage began.The Chicago Tribune reports that amid claims from the MGM Hotel Group that contradict the second timeline offered Monday, authorities altered their sequence of events.The Tribune noted that “new questions surrounding the shooting have centered on the law enforcement response and the timeline, which had been changed multiple times and challenged by MGM Resorts International, the Mandalay Bay’s owner.”The outlet explained further:“Lombardo had said on Monday that Campos, the guard, was shot at 9:59 p.m. and that the mass shooting began at 10:05 p.m., lasting for 10 minutes. This six-minute gap relayed by Lombardo left uncertain whether there was any lag in alerting police to the source of the gunfire during critical moments. Police said they arrived on the 32nd floor at 10:17 p.m., after Paddock had stopped firing.
“MGM, though, said it was ‘confident’ that the 9:59 p.m. time was inaccurate and ‘was derived from a Mandalay Bay report manually created after the fact without the benefit of information we now have.’ The company also disputed the suggestion of a lag and said the mass shooting began within a minute of Campos being shot on the 32nd floor.”According to a statement from MGM:“We know that shots were being fired at the festival lot at the same time as, or within 40 seconds after, the time Jesus Campos first reported that shots were fired over the radio.”The Tribune summarized Lombardo’s most recent explanation:“Upon investigation, [Lombardo] said, police learned that Campos first encountered a barricaded door on the 32nd floor at 9:59 p.m., and that he was fired upon by Paddock ‘in close proximity to’ 10:05 p.m., when police say the mass shooting began.
“’He attempted to relay that information via his radio and it was confirmed because he also relayed that information via his cell phone,’ Lombardo said. ‘So the timeline associated to both of those sources have been verified.’“The sheriff did not specify when police were informed of the security guard’s report, saying on Friday that he was “absolutely offended” by allegations of incompetence within the department, and said that the shifting timeline was a result of the vast scope of the investigation and not an attempt to mislead anyone about the circumstances of the attack.“This is a very dynamic event,” he said.
“A very big event. Thousands of people involved - humans involved - in documentation.”Earlier in the week, Lombardo expressed frustration at questions over the changing timeline.“Nobody’s trying to be nefarious, nobody’s trying to hide anything, and what we want to do is draw the most accurate picture we can,”Daniel Oates, who served as police chief of Aurora, Colorado, when James Holmes opened fire on a movie theater in 2012, defended police’s changing story.“I see this as being ridiculously hard on the people who are trying to get information out, get the totality of that story,” he said. “This stuff takes time.”
The Tribune reported that experts “cautioned that it can take time for even basic information about what occurred during events like the one in Las Vegas to come together” (though, in that article, the outlet did not identify specific experts beyond Oates).Either way, the jumbled timeline continues to draw questions and skepticism, exacerbated further by reports at the end of this week that Campos ‘disappeared’ shortly before he was scheduled to appear at a press conference on Thursday.The report is circulating mostly in right-wing corners of the news media; it was reported by Fox Newsand has been re-reported by several other right-leaning outlets. The general story appears to have been confirmed by ABC journalist Stephanie Wash, who tweeted Thursday evening: “Media scrum tonight as we learn security officer shot in Vegas attack, Jesus Campos’ whereabouts are unknown.”View image on TwitterStephanie Wash ✔@WashNewsMedia scrum tonight as we learn security officer shot in Vegas attack, Jesus Campos’ whereabouts are unknown.3:46 PM - Oct 13, 2017Twitter Ads info and privacyJesus Campos was set to do 5 intvs tonight per union president, but they’ve lost contact. ‘We were in a room & we came out & he was gone,’” she also tweeted.Stephanie Wash ✔@WashNewsJesus Campos was set to do 5 intvs tonight per union president, but they’ve lost contact. “We were in a room & we came out & he was gone”3:43 PM - Oct 13, 2017Twitter Ads info and privacyAn independent journalist reported on Twitter that Campos’ family is under a gag order, however that remains unconfirmed.Despite an influx of criticism and claims of cover-ups, Lombardo insists they are simply doing their best to relay information to the public and gather information and suggested the timeline could continue to change.
“There is no conspiracy between the FBI, between LVMPD and the MGM,” he said this week.
“Nobody is attempting to hide anything in reference to this investigation. The dynamics and the size of this investigation requires us to go through voluminous amounts of information in order to draw an accurate picture. @page { margin: 2cm } h1 { margin-bottom: 0.21cm } h1.western { font-family: "Liberation Serif", serif } h1.cjk { font-family: "WenQuanYi Micro Hei"; font-size: 24pt } h1.ctl { font-family: "Lohit Devanagari"; font-size: 24pt } p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120% } @page { margin: 2cm } h1 { margin-bottom: 0.21cm } h1.western { font-family: "Liberation Serif", serif } h1.cjk { font-family: "WenQuanYi Micro Hei"; font-size: 24pt } h1.ctl { font-family: "Lohit Devanagari"; font-size: 24pt } p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120% }

"Kill the messenger!"

Sun, 15/10/2017 - 00:43

Hurricane Ophelia upgraded to Category 3: headed for Ireland and the UK

Sun, 15/10/2017 - 00:33
FollowingFollowing @PaulHBeckwithMoreWill the famous of the ” hold, or will be crushed-like-a-bug under ’s onslaught?  7:37 AM - 15 Oct 2017

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HURRICANE Ophelia has been upgraded to an almost unprecedented Category 3 storm as it slowly makes its way towards the UK mainland. @page { margin: 2cm } h1 { margin-bottom: 0.21cm } h1.western { font-family: "Liberation Serif", serif } h1.cjk { font-family: "WenQuanYi Micro Hei"; font-size: 24pt } h1.ctl { font-family: "Lohit Devanagari"; font-size: 24pt } p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120% } Ophelia has become the sixth major hurricane of the 2017 season after it was upgraded to a Category 3 storm.

Storms of this strength are extremely rare and Ophelia's current location is the farthest east a major Atlantic hurricane has ever been seen.

If the storm were to hit Britain at its current strength, it would be among the most powerful weather systems ever to hit the UK mainland.

While Ophelia is expected to slow down by the time it hits the UK, the Met Office has issued severe weather alerts and warned there could be potential power cuts, disruption to road and rail networks, and damage to buildings.

Western England, Northern Ireland and parts of Scotland will be most affected by the storm winds, with coastal areas expected to face the brunt of the weather conditions....

This report is 15 hours old. The hurricane has been upgraded since then.
Hurricane Ophelia: Ireland braces for worst Atlantic storm in almost 60 years
the Independent,
16 November, 2014

Ireland is bracing itself for what could be the worst storm since 1961, according to Met Éireann, the country’s national meteorological service.
Hurricane Ophelia, which is currently south-west of the Azores islands near Portugal, 2,500km away from Ireland, is expected to hit the country’s west coast on Monday.
By this time, it will have lost its hurricane status but will still be a powerful storm. Areas including Cork, Kerry, Clare and Galway & Mayo are set to see wind speeds in excess of 130kmh (80mph).
The Irish meteorological service has issued its highest possible "status red" warning ahead of the arrival of Ophelia.
It is feared large waves may lead to flooding in coastal areas.
The tropical storm is currently making its way across the Atlantic as a category 1 hurricane with winds of up to 100mph.
A Met Éireann spokesperson told The Independent the storm could cause as much damage as Hurricane Debbie, a 1961 storm which killed 16 people in the Republic of Ireland and two people in Northern Ireland.
“The tail end of hurricanes often affect Britain and Ireland, but usually, by the time they reach us they will have lost most of their power,” the spokesperson said.
“We’ve had a very active hurricane season, but the remains of Hurricanes Maria and José passed us by harmlessly, as is usually the case.

Eric Holthaus ✔@EricHolthaus
Ophelia is now a major hurricane, the first in recorded history in this part of the Atlantic Ocean & the strongest ever to threaten Ireland. …4:50 AM - Oct 15, 2017
“But Ophelia is unusual because hurricanes would usually come from America or the Caribbean, whereas this one is coming from the southwest, below the Azores.
“It’s worth noting that Hurricane Debbie also came from this unusual direction and source region.”
Damage to properties, infrastructure and the agricultural sector from Hurricane Debbie cost as much as £37m, according to meteorologists Kieran Hickey and Christina Connolly-Johnson.
This Atlantic hurricane season has produced 15 named storms, the most since the late 19th century, resulting in more than £200bn worth of damage.
The weather front will have lost most of its power over the sea before making landfall in the British Isles, although Cornwall, Devon and Dorset can expect some disruption, according to the UK Met Office
Hurricane Ophelia UPDATE 1415hrs ______________________________________

Via Facebook
Latest forecast models continue to show a strong impact from Ophelia which will transition into an extra-tropical cyclone at some stage tomorrow when it interacts with the jet stream.
We would like to echo Met Éireann's issuance of a Status Red Warning for Kerry, Cork, Clare, Galway, and Mayo. Mean wind speeds of up to 80km/hr and gusts to 130km/hr are expected, with even higher, damaging gusts possible in exposed areas.
The rest of the country is under a Status Orange Warning with mean winds between 65 & 80km/hr with gusts to 130km/hr in exposed areas.
The current timing of the storm suggests conditions to deteriorate from daylight Monday morning in the south and not ease off until after dark in northern areas.
Due to the storm dynamics, damaging gusts will be possible pretty much anywhere Monday. Driving will be especially hazardous on minor roads surrounded by high trees and dual carriageway/motorways due to crosswinds.
Disruptions to power is also possible, especially in Status Red regions. Be sure to call into elderly neighbours to notify them of the weather warning.
@page { margin: 2cm } p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120% } Coastal flooding is likely especially in along the south coast. Sandbag prepping should be started in prone towns/villages.

@page { margin: 2cm } p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120% } Temperature anomaly across Europe on Monday

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An incredible temperature anomaly across Europe on Monday, well above the average as an extensive ridge covers most of our continent. Notice the small warm core of extra-tropical system Ophelia just SW of Ireland as well!
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Catherine Austin Fitts interviews the Saker

Sat, 14/10/2017 - 09:21
Catherine Austin Fitts interviews the Saker for the Solari Report: The Emerging Multipolar World with The Saker: Cold Wars, Hot Wars @page { margin: 2cm } h1 { margin-bottom: 0.21cm } h1.western { font-family: "Liberation Serif", serif } h1.cjk { font-family: "WenQuanYi Micro Hei"; font-size: 24pt } h1.ctl { font-family: "Lohit Devanagari"; font-size: 24pt } p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120% } a:link { so-language: zxx }

Dear friends,Here is the latest installment of my quarterly conversations with Catherine Austin Fitts.  This time the topic was The Emerging Multipolar World with The Saker: Cold Wars, Hot Wars.   I hope you will enjoy it as much as I did.Here is the main page of the interview: can listen to the interview here: can get the transcript in PDF format here: highly recommend that you check out the rest of the Solari Reports and the Solari Books.Enjoy!The Saker

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The Saker on Trump today

Sat, 14/10/2017 - 09:14
@page { margin: 2cm } p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120% } a:link { so-language: zxx } Trump goes full shabbos-goy

the Vineyard of the Saker,
13 October, 2017

I won’t even bother discussing the substance of what Trump had to say today 
because what he said deserves no such attention.  I will quickly mention that yesterday Trump pulled the US out of UNESCOon behalf of Israeli interests.  Today he basically announced a tepid, possibly hot, war on Iran.  I am tempted to say “so what else is new?”.  In fact, nothing, nothing at all.

This topic, the AngloZionist plans of war against Iran, has been what made me write my very first post on my newly created blog 10 years ago.  Today, I want to reproduce that post in full.  Here it is:

Where the Empire meets to plan the next warTake a guess: where would the Empire’s puppeteers meet to finalize and coordinate their plans to attack Iran?Washington? New York? London? NATO HQ in Brussels? Davos?Nope.In Herzilia. Never heard of that place?The Israeli city of Herzliya is named after Theodor Herzl, the father of modern Zionism, and it has hosted a meeting of the Empire’s Who’s Who over the past several days at the yearly conference of the Herzilia Institute for Policy and Stragegy. For a while, Herzilia truly became the see of the Empire’s inner core of heavy hitters.(Non-Israeli) speakers included:Jose Maria Aznar Former Prime Minister of Spain, Matthew Bronfman, Chair of the Budget and Finance Commission, World Jewish Congress, and member of the World Jewish Congress Steering Committee, Amb. Nicholas Burns US Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs, Prof. Alan Dershowitz Felix Frankfurter Professor of Law at Harvard Law School, Senator John Edwards Head of the One America Committee and candidate for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination, Gordon England US Deputy Secretary of Defense, Dr. Marvin C. Feuer Director of Policy and Government Affairs, AIPAC, Newt Gingrich Former U.S. Speaker of the House of Representatives, Rudolph Giuliani, Former Mayor of New York City and candidate for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination, General the Lord Charles Guthrie of Craigiebank GCB LVO OBE. Former Chief of the Defense Staff and Chief of the General Staff of the British Army, Amb. Dr. Richard Haass President of the Council on Foreign Relations, Stephen E. Herbits Secretary-General of the World Jewish Congress, Amb. Dr. Robert Hunter President of the Atlantic Treaty Association and Former U.S. Permanent Representative to NATO. Senior Advisor at the RAND Corporation in Washington (also serves as Chairman of the Council for a Community of Democracies, Senior International Consultant to Lockheed Martin Overseas Corporation), Amb. Dr. Richard H. Jones United States Ambassador to Israel (also served as the Secretary of State’s Senior Advisor and Coordinator for Iraq Policy), Col. (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman Director, Israel and Middle East Office, American Jewish Committee (also served in the IDF Intelligence Directorate for over 25 years), Christian Leffler Deputy Chief of Staff of the European Commissioner for External Relations and Director for Middle East and Southern Mediterranean, European Commission, The Hon. Peter Mackay Canadian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Senator John McCain U.S. Senator (R) from Arizona and candidate for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination, Dr. Edward L. Morse Chief Energy Economist, Lehman Brothers, Dr. Rolf Mützenich Member of the German Federal Parliament (SPD) and member of the Committee on Foreign Policy of the Bundestag (and Board Member of the “Germany-Iran Society”), Torkel L. Patterson President of Raytheon International, Inc., Richard Perle Resident Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute (previously served as Chairman of the Defense Policy Board and Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Policy), Amb. Thomas R. Pickering Former U.S. Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs (previously served as Senior Vice President of Boeing), Jack Rosen Chairman of the American Jewish Congress (and member of the Executive Committee of AIPAC and of the Council on Foreign Relations), Stanley O. Roth Vice President for Asia, International Relations of the Boeing Company (member of the Council on Foreign Relations), James Woolsey Former Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, and many others.Pretty much the entire Israeli “Defence” establishment (why does nobody call it “Aggression establishment?) was present too.Not bad for a “conference”?!Of course, the main topic at the conference was the upcoming war with Iran. Richard Perle, the “Prince of Darkness”, delivered the keynote and conclusion: “If the Israeli government comes to the conclusion that it has no choice but to take action, the reaction of the U.S. will be the belief in the vitality that this action must succeed, even if the U.S. needs to act with Israel in the current American administration”.Noticed anything funny in his words? It’s the “world only superpower” which will have the “belief” (?) in the action of a local country and, if needed, act with it. Not the other way around. Makes one wonder which of the two is the world only superpower, does it not?Anyway – if anyone has ANY doubts left that the Empire will totally ignore the will of the American people as expressed in the last election and strike at Iran, this conference should settle the issue.Also – there are other indicators and warnings. Besides the two aircraft carrier battle groups at Iran’s shores, AWACs planes and military equipment is being shipped to Turkey, and air bridge of C-17 heavy transport aircraft are delivering weapons to Siniora’s government in Lebanon, and forces are being deployed to Iraq to defend the dug-in US forces from Shia retaliation.What about the Democratic majority in Congress? Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the House, settled any doubts about they would act when she declared at the 2006 AIPAC conference:“The greatest threat to Israel’s right to exist, with the prospect of devastating violence, now comes from Iran. For too long, leaders of both political parties in the United States have not done nearly enough to confront the Russians and the Chinese, who have supplied Iran as it has plowed ahead with its nuclear and missile technology. Proliferation represents a clear threat to Israel and to America. It must be confronted by an international coalition against proliferation, with a commitment and a coalition every bit as strong as our commitment to the war against terror.”BTW – Hillary Clinton, the party’s leading contender for the presidential nomination, out-neocons many Republicans when it comes to Iran:“Let’s be clear about the threat we face now: A nuclear Iran is a danger to Israel, to its neighbors and beyond. The regime’s pro-terrorist, anti-American and anti-Israel rhetoric only underscores the urgency of the threat it poses. U.S. policy must be clear and unequivocal. We cannot and should not – must not – permit Iran to build or acquire nuclear weapons. In order to prevent that from occurring, we must have more support vigorously and publicly expressed by China and Russia, and we must move as quickly as feasible for sanctions in the United Nations. And we cannot take any option off the table in sending a clear message to the current leadership of Iran – that they will not be permitted to acquire nuclear weapons.”So much for the will of the American people. As Justin Raimondo exclaimed in his recent article about the upcoming war on – isn’t democracy wonderful?!So count with yet another imperial war of aggression, a barrel of crude at over 100$ and oil shortages, rocketing inflation, job losses, a stagnant real estate market and stock exchange, and a national debt and government deficit which would make even Reagan proud. And plenty of dead Americans (nevermind the Iranians, right?).But don’t worry: there will still be a huge supply of Chinese-made US flags to wave!And now here we are, 10 years later.  For 10 years I have considered that my prediction of a US attack on Iran was the biggest analytical failure in my career.  I now hope and pray that it will remain so and that I will not be proven right.  But it sure looks like my prediction will be vindicated.A couple of months after posting my warning about a risk of a US aggression against Iran I posted another article in which I tried to show that Iran had so many “asymmetrical options” that it could not win a war against Iran.  This article is now dated, but those interested can find it here.  Let me just repost my conclusions:In conclusion we can see that Iran would not have to proactively do anything to make the Empire pay for an short and limited attack. Riding out the attack and letting the Neocons pay the political price for their folly would be the most likely Iranian response. In case of a long term major Imperial war against Iran, the Iranians would have a broad variety of “asymmetrical” options from which to choose, none of which would involve shutting down the Strait of Hormuz or chasing US aircraft carriers in the Persian Gulf.In any scenario, time would always be on the Iranian side while the Empire would very rapidly run out of options to try force an acceptable outcome.This lack of a viable “exit strategy” would rapidly force the time-pressed Imperial High Command to consider the use of nuclear weapons to avoid getting bogged down in a rapidly worsening situation. Any actual use of nuclear weapons would result into a general collapse of the entire Neocon empire of a magnitude similar to the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. In other words, there are no possible winning strategies for an Imperial aggression against Iran.As I mentioned, this article is dated.  It is dated because since 2007 Iran has only become stronger, while the USA has become much, much weaker: not only has the USA been defeated in Syria, but the election of Trump has resulted in such a crisis inside the USA that at this point in time the USA does not even have a foreign policy of any kind and that the various branches of the US government are basically doing whatever the hell they want.  As for Trump, he has become AIPAC’s “punk-ass bitch” (sorry for the rude expression, but in this case I cannot think of any combination of words which could more accurately illustrate Trump’s status).So, the big question is obvious: is that just hot air or will a war happen?At the risk of deepening what still might be my mistaken prognosis of 2007 I will say that yes, the USA will probably attack Iran. Since there is exactly ZERO chance of Iran caving in to the latest US-Israeli threats, not attacking Iran will now represent a major loss of face and humiliation for Trump and his Neocon masters.  So the USA will go to war yet again, not for any rational reason, but solely because Bibi Netanyahu “owns” Trump and Israel “own” the USA. Yes my dear Americans, far from being “the land of the free and the home of the brave” the USA is a subservient colony of a tiny state in the Middle-East which also happens to be the last officially racist state on our planet.  Which makes you neither brave, nor free.  Sorry.The only good news is that once the Neocons fail, there will be political hell to pay for them.  Oh sure,their plan is not even to win.  What they want is inflict as much damage as possible on Iran (like they did in Lebanon and Gaza), kill as many Iranians as possible, destroy as much of the Iranian infrastructure as they can, before dumping Trump and blaming it all on him.  Their hope is that the US Ziomedia will then lynch Trump for starting an unwinnable war against Iran while they, the Neocons, quietly slip away and let Trump face the music.  Trump will be impeached, possibly jailed, while Bibi Netanyahu will either get reelected personally, or appoint the next guy in charge.  Let the goyimkill each other while we reap the benefits from it all.Tob shebbe goyim harog, right?While that work?Maybe.  I will never commit the mistake of underestimating the stupidity and ignorance of brainwashed people our society is so good at generating, but I will add that this plan also involves a huge risk: if, in the age of the still-not-quite-Big-Brother-controlled Internet the American people finally connect the dots and find out that they fought and lost many wars on behalf of a small cabal of racist Zionists who despise them, then there is a real possibility of a huge blowback against the (aptly-named) Zionist Occupation Government (aka ZOG) which, in turn, might open a Pandora’s box of questions, including what really happened on 9/11.But that is still a distant possibility at most.Right now what we are looking at is a slow but steady move towards a US attack on Iran.As for the Iranians, my heart goes out to them, but I take comfort in the fact that they, being religious, understand that how you live and what you fight for is far more important than how long you live.  I saw that President Rouhani serenely declared that Trump’s speech as “expletives and a pile of delusional allegations“.  He is right.No country is ever ready for war.  Unless it is the aggressor, of course.  But Iran is today in much, much better shape than 10 years ago, not only in social, political, economic and military terms, but also in strategic terms: the USA just lost Syria and nobody in the Middle-East believes in the myth of the “invincible superpower” any more than they believe in the myth of “invincible Tsahal”.As for Hassan Nasrallah, he recommended that the Jews who recently moved to Israel to get the hell out before the next war begins.  He is also right. The Iranians are not stupid, they know that the upcoming US attack on Iran was ordered by Israel.  This is hardly a secret, the Israelis have been begging for it for years now.  An Iranian retaliatory counter-attack on Israel is, therefore, only logical.The inevitable US defeat against Iran will make the defeats in Syria, Afghanistan and Iraq look like minor disappointments.  If you have not read it yet, make sure to get a copy of “Twilight’s Last Gleaming” by J.M. Greer which I reviewed here as it does a great job explaining, in an entertaining manner, how a foreign military disaster can bring about the complete collapse of the AngloZionist Empire and even a breakup of the United States.Tonight I am saddened, disgusted and, yes, frightened.  There is still a possibility that all this will remain your garden variety imperial hubris combined with the typical Zionist arrogance famous worldwide.  But words and idea do have their own power and tonight Donald Trump sure has vomited up a long list of expletives and delusions.  It will be awfully hard to back down from this latest list of threats, especially after being so recently ridiculed and, worse, ignored by the North Koreans who never took Trump “powerful armada” seriously (and for good reasons).So, in my own way, I will end with what I would call a warning to the Zionists: before taking on the Persians, think very carefully who you are messing with!  Take a look at what Iranian *rappers* have to say about their country and now try to imagine how the members of the Iranian Armed Forces and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps feel about your threats.  Are you really so sure that you have what it takes to fight them?!The Saker(see below for translated lyrics)

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What is the influence of Henry Kissinger on Trump?

Sat, 14/10/2017 - 09:01
@page { margin: 2cm } h1 { margin-bottom: 0.21cm } h1.western { font-family: "Liberation Serif", serif } h1.cjk { font-family: "WenQuanYi Micro Hei"; font-size: 24pt } h1.ctl { font-family: "Lohit Devanagari"; font-size: 24pt } p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120% } a:link { so-language: zxx } Donald Trump has recently been meeting several times with Henry KissingerIs Trump the Back Door Man for Henry A. Kissinger & Co?F. William Engdahl

Journal– Neo,
9 January, 2017

The term Back Door Man has several connotations. In the original blues song written by Willie Dixon, it refers to a man having an affair with a married woman, using the back door to flee before the husband comes home. During the Gerald Ford Presidency, Back Door Man was applied to Dick Cheney as Ford’s White House Chief of Staff and his “skills” at getting what he wanted through opaque means. More and more as Cabinet choices are named, it looks like the entire Trump Presidency project is emerging as Henry A. Kissinger’s “Back Door Man,” in the Cheney meaning of the term.
Long forgotten is Trump’s campaign rhetoric about draining the swamp. In October during his campaign candidate Trump issued a press release stating, “Decades of special interest dealing must come to an end. We have to break the cycle of corruption…It is time to drain the swamp in Washington, D.C…That is why I am proposing a package of ethics reforms to make our government honest once again.”
So far, the President-elect has already named more billionaires to cabinet and other top posts than any other president in US history–Betsy DeVos of the AmWay fortune as Education Secretary, Wilbur Ross as Commerce Secretary, Linda McMahon as Small Business Administrator, and Vincent Viola, as Army Secretary. That’s not including Trump himself as a putative billionaire.
Then in terms of the vested special interests of Wall Street, Goldman Sachs has a huge power in the new Administration. Goldman Sachs partner Steven Mnuchin is Trump’s nominee for US Treasury Secretary. Goldman Sachs President Gary Cohn will be his top White House Economic Adviser. Anthony Scaramucci, Presidential Transition Team Executive Committee member, is a former Goldman Sachs banker as well as Steve Bannon, Trump’s chief strategist and Senior Counselor.
We add to that assemblage no fewer than four US military generals representing the most corrupt military industrial complex in world history: as Secretary of Defense retired General James “Mad Dog” Mattis, Board member since retiring of major defense contractor General Dynamics; retired Lt. General Mike Flynn, with his own consulting firm, as his National Security Adviser and retired General John F. Kelly as Secretary of Homeland Security.
Add to this collection the naming of Rex Tillerson the CEO of ExxonMobil, the largest oil multinational of the United States, as Secretary of State; the ex-Governor of Texas, America’s largest oil producing state, Rick Perry, as Secretary of Energy, along with pro-shale energy Oklahoma Attorney General, Scott Pruitt to be head of the Environmental Protection Agency, and certain dramatic economic policy flips begin to emerge compared with the previous hapless Presidency.
Back Door for Kissinger Geopolitics
What emerges is not pretty and, sadly, more than confirms my earlier piece on the Trump Deception.
However, all this misses in my view one essential component, namely the shadowy role of former Secretary of State Henry A. Kissinger, who is emerging as the unofficial and key foreign policy adviser of the Trump Administration. If we follow Kissinger’s tracks in recent months we find a highly interesting series of meetings.
On December 26, 2016 the German daily Bild Zeitung published what it said was a copy of an analysis by members of the Trump Transition Team which revealed that as President Trump will seek “constructive cooperation” with the Kremlin, a dramatic contrast to Obama confrontation and sanctions policies. The newspaper went on to discuss the role of 93-year-old former Secretary of State, Henry A. Kissinger as Trump’s leading, if unofficial, foreign policy adviser. The report stated that Kissinger is drafting a plan to bring Putin’s Russia and Trump’s Washington to more “harmonious” relations that includes US official recognition of Crimea as part of Russia and lifting of US economic sanctions that Obama imposed in retribution for the Crimea annexation in 2014, among other steps.
The kicker in this otherwise sensible-sounding US policy change is Kissinger’s sly geopolitical aim in “gettin’ Putin back in the (NATO) tent,” as late Texan President Lyndon Baines Johnson might have elegantly put it.
What is the aim of Kissinger? Not any “multi-polar world” that respects national sovereignty as he claims, of that you can be certain. Kissinger’s aim is to subtly erode the growing bilateral axis between China and Russia that threatens US global hegemony.
The trend of the last several years since Obama’s ill-fated coup d’etat in Ukraine in early 2014, threatened to jeopardize Kissinger’s lifetime project, otherwise called David Rockefeller’s “march towards a World Government,” a World Government in which “supranational sovereignty of an intellectual elite and world bankers is surely preferable to the national auto-determination practiced in past centuries,” to use Rockefeller’s words to one of his select groups during the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. The Bild Zeitung Trump-Kissinger memo states that the idea of warming up to Russia is aimed at offsetting China’s military buildup. In other words, a different game from Obama’s, but a game of power nonetheless.
Real Balance of Power
Kissinger is one of the few surviving practitioners of historical British Balance of Power geopolitics. True British Balance of Power, as practiced in British military and diplomatic history since the Treaty of Windsor of 1386, between England and Portugal, always involved Britain making an alliance with the weaker of two rivals to defeat the stronger and in the process, to afterwards loot the exhausted weaker power as well. It was extraordinarily successful in building the British Empire down to World War II.
British Balance of Power is always about what power, in this case a Kissinger-steered United States, does the “balancing.” Following the defeat of Napoleon’s France at the Congress of Vienna peace talks in 1814, British Foreign Secretary, Viscount Castlereagh, architected a treaty that insured no Continental European power could dominate over the others, a strategy that lasted until 1914 and the First World War. What many political historians ignore is that that Continental Balance of Power was essential for creation of the British Empire that dominated the world as the leading naval power for a century.
In his 1950’s Harvard University PhD dissertation, Kissinger wrote what became a book titled, “A World Restored: Metternich, Castlereagh and the Problems of Peace, 1812-1822.” That study of British Balance of Power is at the heart of Kissinger’s Machiavellian machinations ever since he took his first job with the Rockefeller family in the 1960’s. In A World Restored Kissinger states, “Diplomacy cannot be divorced from the realities of force and power. But diplomacy should be divorced…from a moralistic and meddlesome concern with the internal policies of other nations.” Further, he states, “The ultimate test of a statesman, then, is his ability to recognize the real relationship of forces and to make this knowledge serve his ends.”
Since his relationship began in the 1950’s with Nelson Rockefeller and the brothers Rockefeller–Laurance, David, Winthrop– Henry Kissinger has been the core strategist of the Rockefeller family’s globalization or World Government above nation states as David called it in 1991. That included Kissinger’s role with the Bilderberg Meetings, with David’s Trilateral Commission and right down to the present. It was Secretary of State Kissinger who asked his good friend David Rockefeller to facilitate Nixon’s “China opening” to the West in 1971. Then the geopolitical aim of Kissinger’s rebalance was to seduce China, then the weaker of Washington’s two great adversaries, into the Western alliance against the Soviet Union, then the stronger adversary, at least in military and geopolitical terms.
Today, as the year 2017 begins, the roles have turned and clearly China has emerged after more than three decades of unbridled industrial and economic expansion, as the stronger challenger of David Rockefeller’s so-called World Government. Russia, following the economic savagery and deindustrialization of the post-1991 Yeltsin years, is in Kissinger’s view, clearly the weaker of his two adversaries. Both China and Russia under Xi Jinping and Putin, are, together with Iran, the most formidable defenders of national sovereignty–the main obstacles standing in the way of David Rockefeller’s (I use him as the template) World (fascist) Government.
Kissinger’s strange diplomacy
If we perceive Kissinger’s recent actions from this perspective–how to break the emerging Eurasian threat to a Western-dominated One World Order–it makes much sense. He has been shockingly fulsome in his recent praise of the political neophyte casino mogul Trump. In an early December CBS TV interview, Kissinger said that Trump, “has the possibility of going down in history as a very considerable President.” He added that because of perceptions that Obama weakened America’s influence abroad, “one could imagine that something remarkable and new emerges” out of a Trump administration. “I’m saying it’s an extraordinary opportunity.”
The more we look under the rocks and at the key foreign policy choices of neophyte Trump, we find the pawprints of Henry A. Kissinger. The choice of General James “Mad Dog” Mattis to be Secretary of Defense intersects Kissinger. Mattis and Kissinger both served until early 2016 on the Board of Directors of a bizarre and very controversial California medical technology private partnership, Theranos, together with (until recently) former US Secretary of State George Shultz, former Secretary of Defense Bill Perry, retired U.S. Navy Adm. Gary Roughead, former Wells Fargo Bank chairman Dick Kovacevich.
Mattis, whom Trump compares to General Patton, in August, 2016 wrote a report attacking both Obama, Bush and Bill Clinton administrations’ foreign military policy, blasting the last three administrations for a perceived lack of national security vision, by ignoring threats posed by Russia, China and terrorist groups worldwide.
As well, the pawprints of the sly Kissinger appear with the surprise naming of ExxonMobil head Rex Tillerson to be Secretary of State. ExxonMobil is of course the original core of the Rockefeller family wealth. Kissinger issued a decisive and strong recommendation of Tillerson, stating that because Tillerson has strong personal relations with Russian President Putin and Russian state oil company, Rosneft, it is no reason to disqualify Tillerson: “I pay no attention to the argument that he is too friendly to Russia. As head of Exxon it’s his job to get along with Russia. He would be useless as the head of Exxon if he did not have a working relationship with Russia.” As with Kissinger and Mattis, Kissinger also serves on a Board of Trustees with Tillerson. Both Tillerson and Kissinger are Trustees of the very influential Washington Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), along with such as Zbigniew Brzezinski and former Defense Secretary Leon Panetta.
In true Kissinger secret diplomacy style so skillfully applied during his role in triggering the October, 1973 Yom Kippur war, Kissinger has apparently won the respect of Vladimir Putin as a “world class politician.” In February, 2016 Kissinger went to Moscow to privately meet with Putin. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov called that meeting a continuation of “a friendly dialogue between President Putin and Henry Kissinger, who are bound by a long-standing relationship.”
And on December 2, Kissinger was personally invited by China President Xi Jinping to meet in Beijing to discuss the prospects for China of the Trump presidency. Kissinger is regarded since 1971 as uniquely trusted by the Chinese to serve as a mediator of US policy intentions.
With Kissinger now in a unique relationship with President-elect Trump as shadow foreign policy adviser, with Kissinger allies Tillerson as Secretary of State and Mattis as Secretary of Defense, it is beginning to appear that the heavy hand of Kissinger and his version of British Balance of Power political manipulations is about to target China, as well as Iran, and to try to use Putin and Russia to destroy the genuine possibility of a counterweight to Western One World delusions, by fostering mistrust and bad blood between China and Russia and Iran.
There is simply too much coincidence in the recent emergence of the Kissinger–world statesman of peace–to not think that in truth, from the outset, Donald Trump was designed to be Henry A. Kissinger’s Back Door Man, in order to re-tilt global geopolitics back to a US leading role as Domina über Alles.
F. William Engdahl is strategic risk consultant and lecturer, he holds a degree in politics from Princeton University and is a best-selling author on oil and geopolitics, exclusively for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook.”

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Las Vegas shooting: A trauma surgeon questions the legitimacy of the official narrative

Sat, 14/10/2017 - 08:49
The Las Vegas Shooting: An American Trauma Surgeon RespondsPaul Craig Roberts

Global Research,
13 October, 2017

We bring to the attention of Global Research readers, this article by Paul Craig Roberts, which includes a letter by a Trauma Surgeon and comments by readers.
The Trauma Surgeon questions the legitimacy of the official story. 
Dear Dr. Roberts:
This note is in response to your invitation for medical professionals to comment on the LV shootings with respect to the authenticity of the publicly available videos and whether they prove or disprove that actual victims were injured or killed. I am a retired surgeon with experience in managing patients with massive blood loss in an operating room setting and in other in-hospital cases of marked hemodynamic instability from hemorrhage.
The retired surgeon from Florida made many excellent points already and I will try not to repeat them. Here are some additional problems with the scene as presented in the publicly available videos:1.)  We do not see CPR [Cardiopulmonary resuscitation] being conducted on anyone that I am aware of. This would be extremely unusual for a massive shooting. Surely someone would have captured it on their cell phone. Even if it took a while for the EMT’s to arrive, it would be reasonable for non-medical personnel in the audience who have taken a basic CPR course to have started it.2.)  Given the alleged number of victims, we should have seen some evidence of arterial bleeding, no doubt at least several instances of massive hemorrhage (arterial bleeding is often associated with blood being ejected from the site of injury, a so-called arterial “pumper”). What is the probability that no one captured an example of it?3.)  If some of the rounds were from a fully automatic high caliber rifle or machine-gun like weapon(s), some of the victims should have had obvious massive and visible trauma to the head, neck and extremities. So far, I have seen no evidence of it.4.)  There is a complete absence of the kind of urgency one would expect from the professionals who allegedly responded on display in the videos available. Where are the EMT’s with their stretchers rushing to the victims? We see pictures of people in the audience crouching down, laying down, crawling, walking and running away but no evidence that any of them have sustained a gun shot wound(s).5.) If hundreds of people were actually injured (not counting those who allegedly died at the scene) and taken to local emergency rooms, someone should have captured evidence on their cell phones of severely injured victims being wheeled into ER trauma rooms and being taken to surgery. I have not seen any videos from emergency rooms in which victims with actual wounds are displayed. Surely some of the local media would have arrived at the local hospital ER’s to take pictures and to interview the uninjured persons accompanying their friends/relatives. No interviews have appeared in which surgeons who attended the victims have been carefully questioned for the extent of injuries sustained. Similarly, no pathologists have been interviewed about their necropsy findings.6.)  Where are the death certificates of those who died at the scene? Where are the autopsy reports which would have been mandatory? I have seen pictures of alleged deceased persons but not actual proof of death(s). Moreover, why have there been no news conferences from the hospital(s) reporting on the progress or subsequent deaths of injured patients? Surely, someone with critical injuries must have died by now if the event was not staged. The only videos I have seen depict alleged shooting victims who do not appear to have sustained a GSW.7.)  If hundreds of injuries/deaths occurred, the video evidence should have been overwhelmingly in support of it given that almost everyone has a smart phone with camera capability. Yet, we have clearly been shown videos which do not support it. That is very strange and suggests that better video evidence is lacking, as would be expected.8.)  It has been reported that a mass casualty drill was taking place in LV either at or prior to the alleged mass casualty event. Many false flag events have been preceded by a drill that “went live.” It has also been reported that citizen researchers who have called the closest local hospitals have been told that they had no record of gunshot victims. These claims need to be substantiated.9.)  The fact that advertisements/requests were placed asking for “Crisis Actors” in the LV area suggests that the event could have been either partially or totally staged. [a matter for further investigation]
posted on Craig’s List in mid September 2017These represent only a few of the problems that come to mind at this point.This reader writes that there was an active shooter drill underway in Las Vegas:
There was a FEMA “active shooter” drill going on that very same week in Vegas. Look into it more. It may have overlapped with the real situation to purposefully sow confusion and throw the scent.Based on developments in England, this reader speculates that laws are coming our way that criminalize independent citizen investigations:
In your October 11 article “More Responses to the Military Surgeon’s Letter”, you ask “Is the real conspiracy one of establishing official stories as fact regardless of evidence?”There is a strong case for that contention. I refer you to the October 2 Guardian article titled “Amber Rudd: Viewers of Online Terrorist Material Face 15 Years in Jail”. The link to this article is this.
In the article, the Home Secretary is quoted thus:“I want to make sure those who view despicable terrorist content online, including jihadi websites, far-right propaganda and bomb-making instructions, face the full force of the law.”The inclusion of “far-right propaganda” in her statement is ominous. It appears that the stage is being set for the thwarting of all independent investigation in the aftermath of a tragedy, with severe legal penalties for those who do not comply.And this from England:Regarding your question “Why then are what clearly seem to be crisis actors employed?”.I’m going to take a wild guess. They are preparing us for war and so they don’t want the people to see blood and guts and just how horrendous the injuries are as it might cause people to think about the reality of war. The shocking images would make people fear what war will do to their friends and family and then they will object and oppose the war mongering of the politicians.They used actors to make being shot seem not so bad – your clothes stay clean and you are soon up and about again – so “Let’s have a war, it’s nothing to worry about”.Once again, the question that should be on our minds is why such a public event as the mass shooting of 573 people is not a completely clear transparent event?
Why the lack of hard evidence? Why instead do we have videos of non-medical personnel incorrectly carrying non-wounded people?Some claim that the bullets were fired from too far a distance to do much serious damage. This is the answer to why none of the 500+ reported wounded have been reported to have died from complications from their wounds. So, why then did 58 or 59 people die on site from the bullets? Alternatively, how is it possible that automatic fire into a packed audience only hit 58 or 59 people and the 500+ only suffered minor injuries by wood splinters and pieces of concret thrown up by the bullets, thus, no deaths from the injuries?Why is it that with these terror events—Las Vegas, Boston Marathon Bombing, 9/11 itself—drills reflecting the alleged events were being conducted? Why has the media, not only the US media, but also the world media, never asked this question? How is it that almost every time that there is a terrorist event, a drill of that event is taking place?After all this time, how can this question remain unasked and unanswered?How is it possible that 573 people can be shot in a public place, and aware people can have no confidence in the official story?We know we were lied to about the JFK and RFK assassinations, the Martin Luther King assassination, the Gulf of Tonkin, the Israeli attack on the USS Liberty, Saddam Hussein’s “weapons of mass destruction,” Assad’s use of chemical weapons, Russian invasion of Ukraine, Gaddafi, Yemen, Somalia, Obama’s overthrow of the Honduras government, and Maduro in Venezuela still targeted for overthrow along with the governments of Ecuador and Bolivia. The lies we know about are voluminous. There are 3,000 structural engineers and high rise architects, and also physicists, nano-chemists, first responders, high placed former government officials, and military and airline pilots who challenge the official 9/11 story. And all of these experts are dismissed by the presstitute media, which in total probably doesn’t have an IQ of 100, as “conspiracy theorists.” Can you imagine a dumbshit American media talking head calling an internationally known nano-chemist at the Univerisity of Copenhagen a “conspiracy theorist” for publishing a peer-reviewed scientific article that he and his team of scientists found reacted and unreracted nano-thermite in the dust residue of the World Trade Center?This is the American media, who sell their souls to official lies. America has no greater enemy than its own media.This article was originally published by Paul Craig Roberts Institute for Political Economy. @page { margin: 2cm } h1 { margin-bottom: 0.21cm } h1.western { font-family: "Liberation Serif", serif } h1.cjk { font-family: "WenQuanYi Micro Hei"; font-size: 24pt } h1.ctl { font-family: "Lohit Devanagari"; font-size: 24pt } p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120% } a:link { so-language: zxx }

FBI wipe phones of Las Vegas shooting eyewitnesses

Sat, 14/10/2017 - 08:42
Report: FBI Wipes Phones and Laptops of Las Vegas Massacre Eyewitnesses
This report was originally published by Paul Joseph Watson at Infowars
Workers at the Route 91 festival during which Stephen Paddock unleashed his massacre have reportedly been given back their phones and laptops by the FBI only to discover that all messages and videos from the night of the attack have been wiped clean.According to a Las Vegas resident who posted a status update on Facebook, “A bunch of people that worked the Route 91 said they got their cell phones back today. They all said that all their phones are completely wiped clean! All messages and info from that weekend are completely gone. Anyone else experience this?”“A few different people who were vendors there are all saying the same thing,” the woman later comments.Later in the thread, a Route 91 worker confirms the story, commenting, “Of course. It’s an active federal crime scene. They can wipe it clean. I was the beverage manager for the entire event. My laptop is wiped clean.”Infowars was separately contacted by another individual who told us the same story. Both individuals asked that their names not be revealed.The fact that all the information relating to the massacre has been deleted is sure to prompt further claims of a cover-up.While some assert that the feds wiping data is a routine part of their investigation procedure, if authorities want to stop the many conspiracy theories circulating about the attack, they’re not doing a very good job of it.As Ann Coulter notes, the media’s treatment of the story and the constantly changing official narrative is only serving to make people more suspicious.“I don’t know what happened — and, apparently, neither do the cops — but it’s kind of odd that we keep being told things that aren’t true about the Las Vegas massacre, from the basic timeline to this weird insistence that Paddock made a good living at gambling,” writes Coulter.She points to many questions that remain unanswered about the attack, including why Paddock checked in to the hotel days earlier than authorities first said he did, why he was wearing gloves if he planned to commit suicide and why Paddock chose to “unload 200 rounds into the hallway at a security guard who was checking on someone else’s room before beginning his massacre.” @page { margin: 2cm } h1 { margin-bottom: 0.21cm } h1.western { font-family: "Liberation Serif", serif } h1.cjk { font-family: "WenQuanYi Micro Hei"; font-size: 24pt } h1.ctl { font-family: "Lohit Devanagari"; font-size: 24pt } p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120% } a:link { so-language: zxx }

Pentagon spin on Hurricane Maria

Sat, 14/10/2017 - 08:36
How the Pentagon Spun Hurricane Maria U.S. officials inadvertently included a Bloomberg reporter on an internal email list. Here’s a glimpse into their bid to put relief efforts in a positive light.
By Christopher Flavelle

Bloomberg,13 October, 2017

Late last month, Pentagon communications officials inadvertently included Bloomberg climate reporter Christopher Flavelle on an internal distribution list, in which Defense Department and Federal Emergency Management Agency officials discussed their evolving strategy for presenting the response to Hurricane Maria.
Despite repeatedly alerting officials to the error, Bloomberg continued receiving the emails for five days. Those messages, each of which was marked “unclassified,” offer a glimpse into the federal government’s struggle to convince the public that the response effort was going well. That struggle was compounded by the commander-in-chief, and eased only when public attention was pulled to a very different disaster.
Below are passages from those messages, tied to the events that federal officials were trying to respond to.
Sept. 28: Eight days after Maria hit, coverage of the federal government’s response is getting more negative.
The Government Message: Pentagon officials tell staff to emphasize “coverage of life-saving/life-sustaining operations” and for spokespeople to avoid language about awaiting instructions from FEMA, “as that goes against the teamwork top-line message.”
Sept. 29: San Juan Mayor Carmen Yulín Cruz criticizes Washington’s spin, calling Puerto Rico a “people-are-dying story.”
The Government Message: FEMA talking points ignore Cruz, instructing its officials to say that “the federal government’s full attention is on Hurricane Maria response.”
Sept. 30: Trump attacks the mayor’s “poor leadership ability.” The Pentagon worries that Trump’s “dialogue” with Cruz is becoming the story, with “many criticizing his lack of empathy.”
The Government Message: FEMA stresses its success in reaching “all municipalities in Puerto Rico.”
Oct. 1: Trump calls critics of the response “politically motivated ingrates.”
The Government Message: Defense staff admit that “the perception of USG response continues to be negative.” Spokespeople are told to say, “I am very proud of our DOD forces,” before conceding “there are some challenges to work through.”
Oct. 2: The massacre in Las Vegas dominates the headlines.
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The Government Message: The shooting “has drawn mainstream TV attention away from Puerto Rico response,” FEMA says. Still, the roundup seems to have lost some of its previous optimism. It concludes, simply: “Negative tonality.”

Category 2 Hurricane Ophelia Headed Towards the Azores and Ireland

Sat, 14/10/2017 - 08:28
Hurricane Ophelia Heads To Ireland

Enormous consequences of abrupt climate change are coming home to roost. Here I discuss the latest strangeness in our Climate Casino, namely Hurricane Ophelia that is making a beeline towards Ireland & the UK.
Very high ocean temperatures are allowing hurricanes like Ophelia to move farther northward and maintain their strength. Slower and wavier jet streams are stalling hurricanes (Harvey), and huge atmospheric energy release are causing very large & powerful superstorms (Irma, Maria). All because of abrupt climate change greatly warming the Arctic.
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Category 2 Hurricane Ophelia Headed Towards the Azores and Ireland
Dr. Jeff Masters · Above: MODIS satellite image of Ophelia on Friday morning, October 13, 2017. At the time, Ophelia was a Category 2 storm with 100 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.
Wunderground,October 13, 2017, 1:28 PM EDT

Category 2 Hurricane Ophelia was headed east-northeast at 12 mph late Friday morning towards the Azores Islands, and is likely to bring tropical storm-force winds and heavy rains to the Azores on Saturday, and to Ireland on Monday. Ophelia continued to look impressive on satellite imagery on Friday afternoon, with a distinct eye surrounded by a moderately intense area of heavy thunderstorms. Ophelia had favorable conditions to maintain hurricane strength, with moderate wind shear near 15 knots and sea surface temperatures (SSTs) a marginally warm 26°C (79°F)--about 1°C above average for mid-October.

Sam Lillo @splillo has strengthened 20kt in last 24hrs. This type of intensification is rare in this region of the Atlantic10:51 AM - Oct 13, 2017Ophelia’s impact on the Azores

Ophelia will become caught in the prevailing westerlies this weekend, which will accelerate the storm to the east-northeast and then northeast. Sea surface temperatures will gradually drop and wind shear will rise on Saturday and Sunday, weakening the storm. However, Ophelia will begin to derive energy from non-tropical (baroclinic) processes this weekend, and should be able to maintain Category 1 strength until Monday, when it is expected to transition into a powerful post-tropical (mid-latitude) storm with winds of hurricane strength.
On Ophelia's expected course, the storm will track just south of Santa Maria, the southeastern-most island of the Azores, on Saturday night. The 12Z Friday run of the GFS model brings Ophelia within about 60 miles of Santa Maria. This track would put the island on the weaker left-hand side of Ophelia, where maximum sustained winds of 40 – 50 mph will be likely. In NOAA’s historical hurricane database, which extends back to 1851, only 11 hurricanes have passed within about 200 miles of the Azores (as noted by Every one of those occurred in August or September—except for strikingly unseasonal Hurricane Alex, which struck the islands in January 2016 just after weakening to tropical-storm strength.
Ophelia wind forecast

Figure 1. Wind forecast from the 0Z Friday run of the European model, valid at 18Z Monday, October 16, 2017. Sustained tropical storm-force winds of 65 kph (40 mph) were predicted along much of the southwestern coast of Ireland.

Ophelia’s impact on Ireland

Ophelia is expected to complete the transition to an extratropical storm just off southwest Ireland on Monday morning. As this process unfolds, the wind field of Ophelia will expand, and Ophelia promises to be a damaging wind event for Ireland. Expect widespread tree damage and uprooted trees, damaged roofs, power blackouts, mobile phone coverage interruptions, and flying debris. The Irish weather service has issued a Yellow Alert for Monday.
Winds will begin to strengthen in Ireland on Monday morning, but the real impact will be Monday afternoon and evening. Expect sustained southeasterly winds of 55 – 65 kph (34 – 40 mph) for coastal southwest Ireland (Munster province) and southeast Ireland (Leinster province.) Along the south Munster coast (south Cork and south Waterford), sustained winds of 65 - 75 kph (40 – 46 mph) are likely, and winds could be higher along exposed headlands and over the Wicklow Mountains. Up to 2” of rain can be expected over higher terrain from Ophelia. One concern for Ophelia’s impact on Ireland may be the potential for the ex-hurricane to develop a “sting jet.” This is a current of extra-strong jet stream winds that start out about 3 – 4 km above the surface, then descend over a 3 – 4 hour period. Rain falling into the jet evaporates and cools, causing the winds in the sting jet to accelerate as they reach the ground.

Storm surge

According to storm surge expert Hal Needham, extra-tropical cyclones sometimes cause substantial storm surges in high latitudes. For example, Pacific typhoons have become extra-tropical and generated storm surges of 12 feet in Western Alaska. Although Ophelia will maintain hurricane-force wind speeds close to the coast of Ireland, the storm will be moving with a forward speed near 30 mph on Monday. Such fast movement will reduce the ability of Ophelia to generate widespread storm surge. However, we still may see surge impacts where strong onshore winds blow into inlets or bays.
Hurricane history of the UK and Ireland

We don’t often talk about Europe when discussing hurricanes, and Ophelia is likely to be one of the top ten most notable Atlantic ex-hurricanes to affect Europe over the past 50 years. Hurricanes that transition to powerful extratropical storms hit the UK or Ireland several times per decade, on average. Some recent examples:
The extratropical version of Hurricane Katia skirted the northern coast of Scotland on September 12, 2011, two days after transitioning from a hurricane to an extratropical storm south of Newfoundland, Canada. According to Wikipedia, a maximum wind gust of 158 km/h (98 mph) was recorded on Cairn Gorm, Scotland as Katia impacted the region, with a peak gust of 130 km/h (81 mph) observed at a non-mountain station in Capel Curig, Wales; these observations marked the strongest impact from a tropical cyclone since Hurricane Lili in 1996. Waves up to 15 meters (49 ft) battered the western coastline of Ireland, and fallen power lines temporarily disrupted DART services. Approximately 4,000 households were left without power across the country. A catering marquee was blown into the air on a set for the television series Game of Thrones, causing one injury. In County Durham, United Kingdom, a man was killed after a tree fell on the minivan he was driving. Damage estimates in the United Kingdom alone topped £100m ($157 million 2011 USD). The remnants of Katia produced damage as far east as Estonia and Russia. In St. Petersburg, wind gusts up to 45 mph (75 km/h) damaged buildings and left roughly 1,500 residents without power.
Extratropical storm Bill of 2009, which hit Ireland on August 25 with sustained winds of 45 mph, had been a Category 4 hurricane northeast of the Lesser Antilles five days prior. Bill brought heavy rain and severe gales to the UK.

Extratropical Storm Alberto of 2006, which had been a strong tropical storm that hit the Florida Panhandle, hit northern Ireland and Scotland as an extratropical storm with 35 mph winds.
Extratropical Storm Gordon hit Ireland on September 21, 2006, with sustained winds of 65 mph. Gordon brought record warm temperatures as tropical air pushed north across the UK, and also strong winds that brought down power lines in Northern Ireland. Wind gusts to 60 mph (97 km/h) occurred in the Isles of Scilly off the southwest coast, and 81 mph (130 km/h) on the mainland.
Extratropical Storm Helene hit Northwestern Ireland on September 27, 2006, with sustained winds of 45 mph.
Extratropical Storm Lili moved across Britain on October 28 – 29, 1996. Ex-Hurricane Lili brought gusts in excess of 90 mph, and caused widespread impacts across the UK and significant disruption.
As we discussed in yesterday’s post, there is officially one fully tropical hurricane that has hit Europe: Hurricane Debbie of 1961, which tracked through the western Azores as a Category 1 hurricane, then arced northeast and brushed the west coast of Ireland on September 16, also as a Category 1 hurricane. However, there is evidence that Debbie transitioned from tropical to post-tropical (extratropical) cyclone before hitting Ireland (see also this discussion at Irish Weather Online.) Debbie passed close enough to Ireland to produce major destruction. Wind gusts reached 106 mph at Ballykelly and 104 mph at Tiree and Snaefill, and coastal radio stations reported the airwaves were jammed with calls for help from small ships and fishing craft. Eleven people were killed and 50 injured in the storm. The only other tropical cyclone recorded to have hit Europe since 1851 was Hurricane Vince of 2005, which hit southern Spain as a tropical depression on October 11, 2005. Historical documents also suggest a hurricane hit Spain on October 29, 1842.
Sunday, October 15, 2017 is the 30th anniversary of one the most talked-about weather events in UK history, the ‘Great Storm’ of 1987. See the UK Met Office article on this weather event, whose 100 mph winds gusts killed 22 people and caused around £1 billion worth of damage. It has gone down in history as one of the worst UK storms since 1703 and will obviously be remembered for Michael Fish’s now-legendary television broadcast.
Figure 2. Visible satellite image of 92L as seen on Friday, October 13, 2017. GOES-16 data is considered preliminary and non-operational. Image credit: NOAA/RAMMB.
92L east of the Leeward Islands may affect Bermuda next week

A broad area of low pressure was located about 250 miles east of the Leeward Islands early Friday morning, and was headed west-northwest at 15 – 20 mph. This system was designated 92L by the National Hurricane Center early Friday afternoon, and has the potential to develop into a tropical depression early next week as it moves northwards towards Bermuda. No other land areas are likely to be impacted by 92L, though the storm will bring some heavy rain showers and gusty winds to the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the weekend, as it passes to the north.
92L was under high wind shear of 20 - 25 knots on Friday morning, but had ocean temperatures warm enough for development: 28°C (82°F). Relative humidity at mid-levels of the atmosphere as analyzed by the 12Z Friday run of the SHIPS model was favorable for development, about 65%. Satellite loops showed that 92L had a modest area of heavy thunderstorms that were poorly organized, though a surface circulation was attempting to form just west of the area of heaviest thunderstorms.
Forecast for 92L
The 0Z Friday runs of our top three models for predicting tropical cyclone genesis--the European, UKMET and GFS model--had two of them, the UKMET and European models, forecasting that 92L might develop into a tropical depression by Tuesday. Approximately 25% of the 70 members of the 0Z GFS and European model ensemble forecast showed development of 92L. The 12Z Friday run of the SHIPS model predicted that wind shear would remain high, 20 – 30 knots, over the next five days, which should keep development slow, and limit the potential for 92L to become anything more than a weak tropical storm. In their 2 pm Friday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 92L 2-day and 5-day odds of development of 10% and 30%, respectively. The most likely time frame for 92L’s closest approach to Bermuda will be Monday evening through Tuesday morning.

A recent interview with Guy McPherson - 10/10/2017

Sat, 14/10/2017 - 08:12
Death by Methane, Guy Mcpherson, Climate Change

Strong words from Dr. Steve Pieczenik

Sat, 14/10/2017 - 08:06
Strong words from Dr. Steve Pieczenik, an ex-CIA insider who was previously very pro-Trump

Dr. Steve Pieczenik’s mea culpa

Very sad that I was wrong, I hoped for much better with this new administration. Meet the new boss, same as the old boss